Đề tài Livestock Research Priorities 2008-2012

Collaboration for Agriculture and Rural Development (CARD) Program Ministry of Agriculture & Rural Development Livestock Research Priorities 2008-2012 Priority Setting Workshop Hanoi December 2007 Livestock Research and Development Priorities i TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Introduction................................................................................................................. 1 2 Methodology............................................................................................................... 2 2.1 Objectives ........................................................................................................... 2 2.2 Research Priority Framework ............................................................................. 2 2.3 Pre-Workshop Preparation.................................................................................. 3 2.3.1 Organisation and Planning.......................................................................... 3 2.3.2 Training in Priority Setting Methodology................................................... 3 2.3.3 Areas of Research Opportunity................................................................... 3 2.3.4 Data & Evaluation Sheets and Workshop Instructions............................... 4 2.4 Workshop Format ............................................................................................... 4 2.4.1 Workshop Venues and Format.................................................................... 4 2.4.2 Workshop Chairpersons and Group Facilitators......................................... 4 2.4.3 Workshop Process....................................................................................... 4 3 Workshop Results ....................................................................................................... 5 3.1 Return on Investment.......................................................................................... 5 3.1.1 Comment..................................................................................................... 6 3.2 Attractiveness...................................................................................................... 7 3.2.1 Comment..................................................................................................... 7 3.3 Feasibility............................................................................................................ 8 3.3.1 Comment..................................................................................................... 9 4 Priorities within ARDOs........................................................................................... 10 5 Investment Portfolio ................................................................................................. 12 6 The Next Steps.......................................................................................................... 12 Attachments 1. Livestock Sub-sector Priority Setting Workbook 2. Livestock Sub-sector Priority Setting Data and Information Sheets Livestock Research and Development Priorities 1 1 Introduction The Government of Vietnam’s Socio-Economic Plan outlines the government’s expectations for agriculture and rural development. In 2007 MARD outlined the targets for livestock production. By 2010 pig numbers are expected to be 35-40 million, buffalo 2.8-3.0 million, beef cattle 6.5 million, with 200,000 dairy cows producing 300,000 tonnes of fresh milk. In addition the target for poultry is 380-390 million head. These targets suggest growth in production in the livestock sector of 12-15% per annum, compared with a projected growth in agriculture as a whole of 3-5%. Vietnam is a net importer of livestock products and as per capita income increases it is expected that the demand for livestock products, particularly red meat and milk will continue to outstrip local capacity to supply. Major structural change in the livestock sector has been slow, but particularly in the pig and poultry sectors the development of intensive, larger scale commercial production is now occurring. This structural change is likely to quicken with a requirement for significantly increased capital investment. Research in livestock production has traditionally focused on small-scale production systems but in recent years research has contributed to the development of larger scale intensive production systems. For large animals, the capacity to provide sufficient adequate quality feed is a major limiting factor in increasing production and expansion of the beef and milk production industries will depend on improved use of residues from crop production, development of cost effective feed supplements and additives and introduction and expansion of new and improved forages. For smaller animals, pigs and poultry the development of intensive breeding, rearing and finishing systems is also necessary. The ability of Vietnam to compete with lower priced, higher quality imported livestock products is low and unless this can be significantly improved the cost to Vietnam for importation of livestock products will continue to increase. Above all Vietnam is vulnerable to outbreaks of infectious diseases which can cause catastrophic losses in the livestock sector and can pose a threat to human health. Development of new and improved disease prevention and control mechanisms will be critical to achievement of production targets. The opportunities for research to contribute to continued expansion in the contribution of the livestock sector to the national GDP have increased and the research issues have become more complex. However there is limit to the research resources (human, financial and infrastructure) that can be directed towards delivery of benefits from research. Because of the limit on resources it is necessary for the livestock research community to be selective in investing those resources in priority research programs that are most likely to provide the highest return on investment. A key policy question is what research to invest in. The development of a research priority framework and research investment portfolio is the first step of a research strategy that will lead to improved relevance and impact of research. Research priority setting is therefore an important step in the research resource allocation process. Methodologies for priority setting have been adapted for use in Vietnam in conjunction with the AusAID funded Collaboration for Agriculture and Rural Development (CARD) Program. Livestock Research and Development Priorities 2 This report details the methodology and results obtained from the Livestock Research Priority Workshop held in Hanoi on December 12th 2007. The research priorities determined at this workshop is the first step in identification of priority research programs and the determination of a research investment portfolio. Once this task is complete MARD will prepare and publish its Medium-Term Livestock Research Plan. 2 Methodology 2.1 Objectives  To demonstrate an appropriate priority setting methodology suitable for future use by MARD.  To determine the priorities for investment in Areas of Research and Development Opportunity (ARDOs) for the Livestock Sub-sector  To determine the relative priority of livestock crops/species/products within ARDOs  To outline the next steps in development of research strategies for high priority research programs and the development of a Medium-Term Research Plan. 2.2 Research Priority Framework Priority analysis is based on a criterion based analytical framework1, which has been adapted to conditions in different developing countries. The conceptual framework is shown in Figure 1. Figure 1 Research Priority Framework 1 Foster, R.N., Linden, L.H., Whiteley, R.L., and Kantrow, A.M., Improving the Return on R & D, in ‘Measuring and Improving the Performance and Return on R & D’ IRI, New York (originally published in Research Management January 1985. Livestock Research and Development Priorities 3 The Methodology was detailed in a Workshop Workbook (Attachment 1) supported by ARDO Data and Information Sheets (Attachment 2). The workshop aim was to create ownership through developing a consensus between users and providers of research for the research priorities. Sixty stakeholders, representing researchers and research managers, extension workers, universities and the private sector enterprise and researchers participated in the workshop. The workshop process required individual participants to score each Area of Research & Development Opportunity (ARDO) for each of the 4 criteria (Potential Benefits, Ability (or constraints) to Capture Benefits, Research Potential and Research Capacity) before they attended the workshop. Working groups, facilitated by trained and MARD staff discussed the reasons behind individual priority scores and each participant was invited to rescore if they desired. Individual Scoring Sheets were collected and entered in an EXCEL Spreadsheet. Within each of the ARDOs the livestock crops/species/products that made up the ARDOs were also prioritised as a first step towards the development of multi-disciplinary priority research programmes. 2.3 Pre-Workshop Preparation 2.3.1 Organisation and Planning MARD established a Research and Development Priority Setting Working Group (WG) to assist in the development of methodologies and processes that could be applied across all sub-sectors of the Primary Sector (Agriculture, Forestry, Fisheries and Livestock). The WG’s task was to provide the authority and direction for establishment of agricultural research priorities. A workshop outlining the priority setting process was presented to the WG and individual WG members undertook to promote the process and facilitate and chair priority setting workshops. 2.3.2 Training in Priority Setting Methodology MARD established a Monitoring and Evaluation Network (M&EN). The M&EN consisted of staff from the Department of Science and Technology (DST) and staff from research institutes with responsibility for monitoring and evaluation. Two workshops were completed with the M&EN and at the conclusion of these workshops 12 M&EN members had demonstrated their understanding of the methodology. M&EN members facilitated priority setting planning workshops and provided group facilitation services at national priority setting workshops. 2.3.3 Areas of Research Opportunity A workshop of key research staff from Livestock and Veterinary Research Institutions participated in a preliminary workshop designed to reach agreement on Livestock ARDOs. Livestock Research and Development Priorities 4 Seven ARDOs were defined. The format for each ARDO of the Data and Evaluation Sheets was outlined. Key staff from Research Institutions with a broad knowledge of the livestock industry and specialist technical expertise were identified and appointed as ARDO Leaders. The ARDO Leaders took responsibility for preparing draft Data and Evaluation Sheets. The Seven ARDOS were: ARDO 1: Large Animals ARDO 2: Small Ruminant Animals ARDO 3: Pig Production ARDO 4: Poultry ARDO 5: Productive Insects ARDO 6: Veterinary Vaccines & Animal Remedies ARDO 7: Animal Feed Processing & Conservation 2.3.4 Data & Evaluation Sheets and Workshop Instructions Draft Data and Evaluation Sheets were prepared and the PMU critiqued and edited them to ensure that critical information was supplied and all data and evaluation sheets had a similar format and content. Data and Evaluation Sheets for each of the 7 ARDOs were prepared as a separate publication (Attachments 1 and 2) and distributed to invitees prior to the workshop. The methodology was outlined and each workshop participant was asked to read all workshop material and make a preliminary score for each of the four evaluation criteria. 2.4 Workshop Format 2.4.1 Workshop Venues and Format One workshop was facilitated at the La Thanh Hotel Hanoi on December 12th 2007. 2.4.2 Workshop Chairpersons and Group Facilitators Mr Hoang Kim Giao, (Department of Livestock Production and Mr Le Van Bam, (Department of Science & Technology) took dual responsibility for chairing the Priority Setting Workshop. Members of the M&EN and additional Fisheries research institute staff met with the CARD Technical coordinator prior to each workshop to outline the process of facilitation of work tables during the priority setting workshop. Workgroup Facilitators were:  Mr. Vu Chi Cuong, National Institute of Animal Husbandry  Mr. Phạm Sy Tiep, National Institute of Animal Husbandry  Mr. Tong Xuan Chinh, Department of Livestock Production  Mr. Trịnh Phu Ngọc, Veterinary Institute  Mr. Nguyen Viet Hai, Department of Science & Technology 2.4.3 Workshop Process The workshop followed the following steps: Livestock Research and Development Priorities 5 1. Workshop format and process outlined, including a brief description of the methodology and an outline of the priority framework 2. Detailed description of the Potential Benefit evaluation criteria including the key assessment issues 3. Preliminary scoring for Potential Benefits for each ARDO by each workshop participant 4. Work table discussion on reasons for high and low scores for Potential Benefits and reassessment of preliminary scores by each participant 5. Collection of individual scoring sheets and entry of individual scores for Potential Benefit for each ARDO. 6. Repetition of steps 2 – 5 for each of the remaining evaluation criteria (Ability to Capture, Research Potential and Research Capacity 7. Formation of specialist groups for each ARDO and prioritisation of crops/outputs within each ARDO 8. Presentation of workshop results to participants 9. Outline of Next Critical Steps in the development of research priorities 3 Workshop Results 3.1 Return on Investment Return on investment is the product of attractiveness and feasibility. The relative return on investment in each area of research opportunity is summarised below 28 Workshop Output – Return on Investment 7. Animal Feed Processing & Conservation 6. Veterinary Vaccines & Animal Remedies 5. Productive Insects 4. Poultry 3. Pig Production 2. Small Ruminant Animals 1. Large Animals RET URN FROM INVEST MENT IN EACH AREA OF RESEARCH OPPORT UNIT Y 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 10 20 30 0 10 20 30 Feasibility Attractive- ness Livestock Research and Development Priorities 6 3.1.1 Comment The main points arising from the workshop’s Return on Investment assessment are: Highest Return on Investment  ARDO 6 (Veterinary Vaccines and Animal Remedies) was assessed as having the highest return for investment in research. The high return on investment is expected because of a high potential for research to contribute to improved productivity of the livestock sector. Return on investment could be increased even further if Attractiveness, which was relatively low due to a perceived low Likelihood of Uptake and improved capacity in this ARDO, could be achieved. High returns on investment in research in this ARDO are no doubt due to the high risk in Vietnam of large numbers of deaths from infectious diseases and the high impact of clinical and sub-clinical diseases on animal productivity.  The overall Return on Investment for research into pigs and poultry was similar and only slightly lower than ARDO 6. The main reason for relatively high return on investment is the size of the pig and poultry industries and the potential for improved productivity as restructuring occurs in both industries with a move towards larger, intensive systems that have the capacity to adopt new technology more easily. However the return on investment was lowered due to a relative low research potential. This may be due to a comparatively high level of research input in the past, a view that for traditional systems the extra gains from research are limited and the fact that intensive commercial production systems tend to import technology and equipment and provide their own research capabilities. Medium Return on Investment  This group of ARDOs includes Large Animals (ARDO 1) and Animal Feed Processing and Conservation (ARDO 7).  Both ARDOs have a relatively high Feasibility score, but only moderate attractiveness scores. Assessment of each of the four criteria indicates that while the potential benefit, research potential and research capacity was relatively high, the likelihood of uptake was comparatively low. Reasons for these score include the small scale of large animal enterprises making it difficult to adopt improvements in animal breeding through selection and crossbreeding, the difficulties associated with access to and storage and value adding for crops residues to be used as animal feedstuffs, a lack of grazing areas, particularly during the rice growing seasons, the control of the processes feeds industry by large often foreign dominated feed processing companies and the lack of resources to adopt forage production and conservation systems. Low Return on Investment  The return on investment in research in ARDO 2 (Small Animals) and ARDO 5 (Productive Insects) is comparatively low. However the research potential for productive insects was at a moderate level indicating that diversification of bee products and products and identification of more productive silk worms could provide a niche research investment opportunity. Livestock Research and Development Priorities 7 3.2 Attractiveness Attractiveness is a realistic estimate of the relative benefits likely to be achieved. It is assessed by plotting ARDO Potential Benefits to Vietnam against the Ability to Capture those benefits (Likelihood of Uptake). The Figure below summarises the scores provided by individual participants at the workshop. 26 Workshop Output - Attractiveness 7. Animal Feed Processing & Conservation 6. Veterinary Vaccines & Animal Remedies 5. Productive Insects 4. Poultry 3. Pig Production 2. Small Ruminant Animals 1. Large Animals AT T RACT IVENESS OF R&D FOR EACH ARDO 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 Likelihood of uptake Potential Benefits 3.2.1 Comment The main points arising from the workshop’s Attractiveness assessment are: High Attractiveness  Pig production was the most attractive livestock industry for Vietnam. This reflects the size of the pig industry, the structural change that is occurring in the development of larger scale and more intensive production systems. Attractiveness for poultry production was also high, but lower than for pig production. Although the structural changes in the poultry industry are further advanced with large scale commercial companies involved in production the lower potential benefit may be associated with the potential impact of disease such as avian influenza and an assessment that the risks associated with poultry production are greater than those for pig production.  The workshop assessed that the ability to capture the benefits was high for both pig and poultry production and this may be due to most rural households having Livestock Research and Development Priorities 8 significant experience in traditional pig and poultry production systems and the generally rapid adoption of technology by larger scale production systems. Medium Attractiveness  The next group of ARDOs includes Veterinary Vaccines and Animal Remedies, Large Animals and Animal Feed Processing and Conservation.  ARDO 6, Veterinary Vaccines and Animal Remedies has a high potential benefit (as high as pigs, higher than poultry). Attractiveness was lower due to the workshop assessment that it is more difficult for the livestock industry in general to capture the benefit